EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60%
UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1 Aug 11, 2026 · 18:30 · UTC Merkur Arena, Graz Match Finished · 90'

Sturm Graz
vs
Fenerbahçe.

Quick answer

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?

Final score: Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Fenerbahçe to win (80%); the consensus was right.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Sturm Graz form Fenerbahçe form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Fenerbahçe (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Sturm Graz beat Fenerbahçe in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Sturm Graz win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Fenerbahçe win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
60%
Fenerbahçe's stronger squad and European experience can edge a narrow win despite Sturm Graz's home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
52%
Fenerbahçe's squad depth and European experience edge a tight qualifier, though Sturm Graz's home form at Merkur-Arena keeps it close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
55%
Fenerbahçe has superior squad depth, but Sturm Graz is historically resilient at home in European qualifiers. A tight, cautious first leg often leads to a low-scoring draw.
04
Grok 4.6
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
52%
Fenerbahçe's greater squad depth and European pedigree should overcome Sturm Graz home pressure at Merkur-Arena for a narrow away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
62%
Fenerbahçe’s superior squad depth and recent form likely edge Sturm Graz’s home advantage.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Fenerbahçe win
0–1
60%
Fenerbahçe's stronger squad and European experience give them the edge, likely to win a tight, low-scoring game.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
62%
Fenerbahçe’s superior squad depth and European experience likely edge this tie; Sturm Graz’s home form may keep it tight but not decisive.
08
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
58%
Fenerbahçe's stronger squad and recent form edge out Sturm Graz at home.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Sturm Graz win
1–0
62%
Graz's home advantage and strong recent form suggest a tight win. Fener's attack may struggle against Graz's defense, so a narrow margin is likely.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Fenerbahçe win
1–2
60%
Fenerbahçe are the stronger side on paper and will likely control possession, but Sturm Graz's home support should keep the game tight.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    7 models
  • 0–1
    1 model
  • 1–0
    1 model
  • 1–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe in UEFA Champions League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Fenerbahçe win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 10% / 80% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Fenerbahçe

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 1.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Fenerbahçe win · AI Fenerbahçe win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Sturm Graz
Last 5
D W L W W
8 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Rennes 0-0 D
  • Lask Linz 2-1 W
  • Fenerbahçe 0-1 L
  • Heart Of Midlothian 0-2 W
  • Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Fenerbahçe
Last 5
D W D W D
5 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Gaziantep FK 0-0 D
  • Lyon 1-2 W
  • Lyon 1-1 D
  • Sturm Graz 0-1 W
  • Gornik Zabrze 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

STU 0 · D 0 · FEN 1

STU VS FEN
0-1
AWAY WIN
Aug 11, 2026

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Sturm Graz, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight UEFA Champions League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Sturm Graz
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Fenerbahçe
~80%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Sturm Graz is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Fenerbahçe win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.