DEP 1-1 REA · 58% VIL 2-1 LEV · 62% ALM 2-0 CEL · 59% LAS 1-0 BUR · 54% CLU 2-1 GEN · 57% KAL 0-2 PAN · 63% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DEP 1-1 REA · 58% VIL 2-1 LEV · 62% ALM 2-0 CEL · 59% LAS 1-0 BUR · 54% CLU 2-1 GEN · 57% KAL 0-2 PAN · 63% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51%
Premiership · Regular Season - 7 Sep 19, 2026 · 16:45 · UTC The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock Match Finished · 90'

Kilmarnock
vs
Heart Of Midlothian.

Quick answer

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Final score: Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Heart Of Midlothian to win (70%); the consensus was wrong.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Kilmarnock form Heart Of Midlothian form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Heart Of Midlothian (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 53% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Kilmarnock beat Heart Of Midlothian in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Kilmarnock win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Heart Of Midlothian win 70%

7 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
49%
With no recent form or head-to-head data supplied, Hearts’ likely squad strength gives them a narrow edge, while Kilmarnock’s home venue points toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
54%
Hearts typically have stronger squad depth and higher league finishes than Kilmarnock, giving them a slight edge despite the away trip to Rugby Park.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
52%
Kilmarnock are tough to beat on Rugby Park's artificial surface, but Hearts possess the attacking quality to level a tight, physical Scottish Premiership contest.
04
Grok 4.6
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
52%
Thin 2026 data and no H2H; Hearts are usually the stronger side. Rugby Park often stays tight and low-scoring, so a single away goal is the best exact guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
52%
Kilmarnock are solid at Rugby Park but rarely dominant; Hearts have enough quality to score. A tight, low-scoring draw fits the likely tempo.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
52%
Hearts typically stronger squad depth in the Premiership; Kilmarnock at home tend to be compact but struggle to break down organised sides, favouring a narrow away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
60%
Hearts' stronger recent Premiership form and away resilience likely edge out Kilmarnock at Rugby Park.
08
Kimi K3
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
52%
Hearts typically stronger than Kilmarnock in Premiership; tight away win plausible at Rugby Park, but thin context keeps confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
52%
No H2H data available; Hearts have generally been the stronger Premiership side in recent seasons, though Rugby Park home advantage keeps this tight and low-scoring.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Kilmarnock win
1–0
52%
Kilmarnock's home advantage at Rugby Park and a likely tight, low-scoring Scottish Premiership match suggest a narrow home victory.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    5 models
  • 1–2
    2 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian in Premiership? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Heart Of Midlothian win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 20% / 70% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Heart Of Midlothian

70% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 53% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.50 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Draw · AI Heart Of Midlothian win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Kilmarnock
Last 5
D W D W W
10 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 D
  • Hibernian 0-1 W
  • Aberdeen 1-1 D
  • Livingston 1-4 W
  • Dundee 3-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Heart Of Midlothian
Last 5
D L W D L
7 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kilmarnock 1-1 D
  • Falkirk 2-1 L
  • Stenhousemuir 0-3 W
  • Benfica 1-1 D
  • Benfica 6-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

KIL 0 · D 1 · HEA 0

KIL VS HEA
1-1
DRAW
Sep 19, 2026

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Kilmarnock, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight Premiership games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Kilmarnock
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Heart Of Midlothian
~70%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Kilmarnock is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Heart Of Midlothian win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.