ARG 2-0 AUS · 65% FRA 2-0 IRA · 72% NOR 1-1 SEN · 56% JOR 0-1 ALG · 59% POR 2-0 UZB · 70% ENG 2-1 GHA · 64% PAN 0-2 CRO · 65% COL 2-0 CON · 62% SWI 1-1 CAN · 58% BOS 2-1 QAT · 58% MOR 2-0 HAI · 67% SCO 0-2 BRA · 65% SOU 1-1 SOU · 57% CZE 1-1 MEX · 60% ARG 2-0 AUS · 65% FRA 2-0 IRA · 72% NOR 1-1 SEN · 56% JOR 0-1 ALG · 59% POR 2-0 UZB · 70% ENG 2-1 GHA · 64% PAN 0-2 CRO · 65% COL 2-0 CON · 62% SWI 1-1 CAN · 58% BOS 2-1 QAT · 58% MOR 2-0 HAI · 67% SCO 0-2 BRA · 65% SOU 1-1 SOU · 57% CZE 1-1 MEX · 60%
Bundesliga · Final May 16, 2026 · 13:30 · UTC Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg Match Finished · 90'

FC St. Pauli
vs
VfL Wolfsburg.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

FC St. Pauli win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

VfL Wolfsburg win 40%

4 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
VfL Wolfsburg win
1–2
62%
Wolfsburg's recent form and past head-to-head advantage suggest they will edge this match despite St. Pauli's home venue.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Draw
1–1
38%
H2H shows tight, low-scoring encounters (0-0 at Millerntor in Oct 2024); Wolfsburg edged the reverse fixture 2-1 but this final-round home game suits a competitive draw.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent head-to-head meetings have frequently ended in tight draws. On the final matchday at the Millerntor-Stadion, St. Pauli's home resilience makes a balanced 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows frequent draws; both teams defensively solid, likely sharing points at Millerntor.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Draw
1–1
62%
Recent H2H suggests tight contests; venue and league context favor balanced outcome.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
VfL Wolfsburg win
1–2
60%
Wolfsburg's recent form and historical edge suggest a narrow away win, despite St. Pauli's home advantage.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
VfL Wolfsburg win
1–2
62%
Wolfsburg's recent form and past wins over St. Pauli give them an edge, despite St. Pauli's home advantage.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent H2H at Millerntor was 0-0; overall history shows tight matches with draws, indicating a low-scoring tie likely.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
VfL Wolfsburg win
0–1
55%
St. Pauli's home form has been patchy, and their attack struggles against solid defences like Wolfsburg's. A tight contest, but Wolfsburg's efficiency wins.
10
Grok 4.3
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent head-to-heads show tight games with frequent draws; both teams likely to play cautiously at Millerntor-Stadion.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 1–2
    3 models
  • 0–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 0% / 60% / 40% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual VfL Wolfsburg win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

FC St. Pauli
#18 · 26 PTS · GD -31
Last 5
L L L L D
4 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 L
  • RB Leipzig 2-1 L
  • FSV Mainz 05 1-2 L
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 2-0 L
  • 1. FC Köln 1-1 D
Team news
Karol Mets — Patellar tendon problems Jackson Irvine — Foot surgery Ricky-Jade Jones — Shoulder injury Abdoulie Ceesay — Foot injury J. Irvine — Foot injury D. Nemeth — Groin Injury K. Mets — Jumpers knee A. Ceesay — Foot Injury R. Jones — Shoulder Injury H. Wahl — Illness A. Pyrka — Illness A. Dzwigala — Muscle Injury
VfL Wolfsburg
#16 · 29 PTS · GD -24
Last 5
L D W L D
5 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SC Paderborn 07 2-1 L
  • SC Paderborn 07 0-0 D
  • FC St. Pauli 1-3 W
  • Bayern München 0-1 L
  • SC Freiburg 1-1 D
Team news
Rogerio — Muscular problems Kevin Paredes — Foot surgery Jonas Older Wind — Muscular problems Mohamed Amoura — Hamstring Injury J. Lindstrøm — Groin operation K. Paredes — Foot injury Rogério — Muscle bruise D. Vavro — Muscle bruise J. Lindstrom — Groin Injury A. Skov Olsen — Injury M. Angely — Injury J. Wind — Calf Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FCS 0 · D 3 · VFL 2

FCS VS VFL
1-3
AWAY WIN
May 16, 2026
VFL VS FCS
2-1
HOME WIN
Jan 14, 2026
VFL VS FCS
1-1
DRAW
Mar 8, 2025
FCS VS VFL
0-0
DRAW
Oct 26, 2024
VFL VS FCS
2-2
DRAW
Apr 16, 2011

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with FC St. Pauli, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

FC St. Pauli
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
VfL Wolfsburg
~40%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When FC St. Pauli is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

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Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.