KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% VAL 1-1 REA · 58% COR 1-0 FLU · 52% VIT 1-1 CRU · 50% LEG 1-0 GRA · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% VAL 1-1 REA · 58% COR 1-0 FLU · 52% VIT 1-1 CRU · 50% LEG 1-0 GRA · 53%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5 Sep 12, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre Match Finished · 90'

Auxerre
vs
Nice.

Quick answer

Who will win Auxerre vs Nice?

Final score: Auxerre 1–0 Nice. Before kickoff, 7 of 12 AI models expect a draw (58%); the consensus was wrong.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Auxerre form Nice form

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Auxerre beat Nice in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Auxerre win 42%

5 / 12 models

Draw 58%

7 / 12 models

Nice win 0%

0 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
62%
Auxerre and Nice have closely matched recent records, and past meetings often end in draws; balanced game expected.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Auxerre win
2–1
52%
Auxerre have edged recent home meetings with Nice and hold a slight venue advantage; recent H2H shows tight, low-scoring contests favoring the hosts.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
55%
Auxerre has enjoyed recent home success against Nice, but early-season form can be unpredictable. A tightly contested 1-1 draw reflects Nice's typical resilience and the competitive nature of their recent encounters.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
47%
Early Ligue 1 round at Auxerre; recent H2H at venue produced tight results with both sides scoring once.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Auxerre win
2–1
60%
Auxerre's home advantage and recent H2H wins suggest narrow victory, but Nice's threat keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Auxerre win
2–1
60%
Recent history favors Auxerre at home; both teams have shown attacking prowess, but Auxerre's home advantage gives them the edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Auxerre win
2–1
60%
Auxerre’s home form and recent H2H wins (3 of last 5) suggest narrow advantage; Nice’s away struggles tilt score to 2-1.
08
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent head-to-heads show close matches; Auxerre's home advantage is countered by Nice's solid defense.
09
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Context is thin with no H2H data; Nice are marginally stronger but travel to Auxerre, who are solid at home, making a tight low-scoring draw the best estimate.
10
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
45%
Thin context: no H2H or form data. Auxerre's home edge offsets Nice's quality; a tight, low-scoring Ligue 1 draw fits best.
11
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
60%
Both teams have a strong recent history of draws and have had mixed results so far this season, so a tight game is expected.
12
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Auxerre win
2–1
58%
H2H shows Auxerre won last two home games vs Nice 2-1, suggesting home edge and competitive match with goals from both sides.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 12 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 2–1
    5 models

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Auxerre vs Nice in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 42% / 58% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Auxerre vs Nice, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

58% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.42 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Auxerre Nice Expected total Lean
Corners 5.4 4.6 10.0 Under 10.5 58% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.5 1.8 3.3 Under 3.5 58% Ask AI
Shots 12.1 10.0 22.2 Under 22.5 54% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.4 4.1 8.5 Under 8.5 53% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Auxerre win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Auxerre
Last 5
W L L L W
7 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nice 1-0 W
  • Lyon 3-1 L
  • Angers 1-3 L
  • Lens 5-2 L
  • Lille 0-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Nice
Last 5
L D L D W
5 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Auxerre 1-0 L
  • Le Mans 1-1 D
  • Paris FC 3-0 L
  • Lorient 0-0 D
  • Saint Etienne 4-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AUX 3 · D 1 · NIC 1

AUX VS NIC
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 12, 2026
AUX VS NIC
2-1
HOME WIN
May 10, 2026
NIC VS AUX
3-1
HOME WIN
Aug 23, 2025
NIC VS AUX
1-1
DRAW
Mar 14, 2025
AUX VS NIC
2-1
HOME WIN
Aug 18, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 42% of models side with Auxerre, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 58% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Auxerre
~42%
implied lean
Draw
~58%
implied lean
Nice
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.42 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Auxerre is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.42 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.