EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60%
La Liga · Regular Season - 7 Sep 6, 2026 · 16:30 · UTC Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz Match Finished · 90'

Alaves
vs
Osasuna.

Quick answer

Who will win Alaves vs Osasuna?

Final score: Alaves 5–2 Osasuna. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models expect a draw (90%); the consensus was wrong.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Alaves form Osasuna form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Alaves beat Osasuna in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Alaves win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 90%

9 / 10 models

Osasuna win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
65%
Recent head-to-heads show balanced outcomes; both teams have similar form, and Alaves' home advantage may be offset by Osasuna's resilience.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Alaves win
1–0
45%
Alaves at home tend to grind out tight results, and recent meetings have been close and low-scoring apart from one outlier.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent head-to-head meetings between these sides have frequently ended level, including multiple draws. A tight, evenly contested match is expected at Mendizorrotza.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
48%
Alaves home and Osasuna both defensively solid; last two home H2H finished level at 2-2 and 1-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent head-to-head draws and balanced form suggest a tightly contested match.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows balanced results; both teams have defensive vulnerabilities and similar attacking potential.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows frequent draws; both teams defensively solid, likely sharing points in a tight, low-scoring match at Mendizorrotza.
08
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent head-to-heads show a pattern of close matches; moderate confidence due to limited context.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent meetings have been tight affairs, with both teams scoring. Alaves' home advantage may be enough to earn a point, but Osasuna's form makes them tough to beat.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent H2H at Alaves' home shows draws (2-2, 1-1); venue and limited context favor a balanced, low-scoring draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    9 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Alaves vs Osasuna in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Alaves vs Osasuna, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

90% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 0.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Alaves Osasuna Expected total Lean
Corners 6.1 3.5 9.6 Under 9.5 51% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.4 2.5 4.9 Over 4.5 53% Ask AI
Shots 13.7 10.3 23.9 Over 23.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.2 3.5 8.6 Over 8.5 50% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Alaves win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Alaves
Last 5
D L L W W
7 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Athletic Club 0-0 D
  • Valencia 0-1 L
  • Racing Santander 2-1 L
  • Osasuna 5-2 W
  • Villarreal 1-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Osasuna
Last 5
D L L L W
4 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Atletico Madrid 4-0 L
  • Espanyol 0-2 L
  • Alaves 5-2 L
  • Getafe 1-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ALA 1 · D 3 · OSA 1

ALA VS OSA
5-2
HOME WIN
Sep 6, 2026
ALA VS OSA
2-2
DRAW
Apr 5, 2026
OSA VS ALA
3-0
HOME WIN
Dec 20, 2025
ALA VS OSA
1-1
DRAW
May 24, 2025
OSA VS ALA
2-2
DRAW
Dec 8, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Alaves, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 90% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Alaves
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~90%
implied lean
Osasuna
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Alaves is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.