UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60% UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60%
MLB Sep 9, 2026 · 22:40 Not Started

Philadelphia Phillies
vs
Houston Astros.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Astros (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 3–5 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Philadelphia Phillies win 20%

2 / 10 models

Houston Astros win 80%

8 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Houston Astros win
5–6
57%
Houston’s 6-3 win in the preceding Philadelphia meeting and its broader recent head-to-head advantage support a narrow Astros edge, though the Phillies’ home venue and limited pitching information point to a close, moderate-scoring game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–4
55%
Astros have won recent H2H matchups, but Phillies at home look to rebound after last night's loss; expect a close, competitive game.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–4
56%
The Phillies bounce back at Citizens Bank Park after dropping the previous game, relying on home offensive depth in a tight contest.
04
Grok 4.6
Houston Astros win
4–5
58%
Astros won yesterday in Philadelphia 6-3 and the last five H2H meetings. Thin 2026 form beyond that series, so a close road win is the best guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Astros win
3–5
58%
Houston won 6-3 in Philadelphia yesterday and has controlled recent meetings, scoring efficiently on the road; expect another Astros edge in a mid-scoring game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Astros win
3–5
62%
Astros dominated recent H2H including yesterday's 6-3 win in Philadelphia; their pitching and offensive consistency give them the edge despite being on the road.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Houston Astros win
3–5
65%
Houston won 6-3 yesterday; dominates recent meetings.
08
Kimi K3
Houston Astros win
3–5
58%
Houston has won five straight H2H meetings including yesterday's 6-3 result, showing sustained matchup dominance over Philadelphia. Astros' recent scoring form and psychological edge support a moderate road victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Astros win
4–5
60%
Astros have dominated this matchup, winning all five recent meetings including yesterday's 6-3 at Philadelphia; their pitching has held the Phillies to three or fewer runs each time.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Houston Astros win
3–5
65%
Astros won 6-3 yesterday and have dominated recent H2H; home advantage may not counter their offensive form.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 3–5. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 3–5
    5 models
  • 5–4
    2 models
  • 4–5
    2 models
  • 5–6
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (3 - 5; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Astros win, with vote shares roughly 20% / 80% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Houston Astros

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 3.80 vs 4.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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