EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60%
Featured deliberation

Will Fiorentina beat Napoli in the Serie A on 20 September...

Council vote from 10 AI models — 0 yes, 10 no

Question on the table

Will Fiorentina beat Napoli in the Serie A on 20 September?

Consensus Vote

Council decision

No

0 agree

10 disagree

10 models deliberated on this question.

Expert Opinions

GPT-5.6 Luna

No — Fiorentina are unlikely to beat Napoli, whose stronger recent form and matchup record clearly favor the visitors. Napoli have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings, while the models give Fiorentina a 0% home-win probability and Napoli a 92% away-win probability.

No
Claude Sonnet 5

No — the model consensus is overwhelming, with 92% predicting an away win and 0% for a Fiorentina victory. Napoli's recent form (WLLWW) is far more stable than Fiorentina's alarming slide (WWLLL, conceding 11 in five games including a 4-0 and 0-3 loss). Head-to-head history also favors Napoli, who've won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Fiorentina, including 4 of the last 5 away/neutral encounters going their way. Fiorentina's defensive collapse makes it hard to see them containing Napoli's attack.

No
Gemini 3.8 Flash

No — Fiorentina will not overcome Napoli in this fixture given the overwhelming statistical disadvantage they face. The head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors, with Napoli having won the last four consecutive encounters against Fiorentina, including a decisive 3-0 victory in Florence. Furthermore, TuringStats prediction models assign a 0% probability to a home win, making an upset extremely improbable against an away side backed by a 92% win projection.

No
Grok 4.6

No — Fiorentina will not beat Napoli. The models give Fiorentina a 0% home-win probability against Napoli’s 92% away-win chance, with the most common score 1-2. Napoli also hold a dominant head-to-head record of four wins and one draw in the last five meetings, while Fiorentina’s recent WWLLL form includes three straight losses.

No
DeepSeek V4 Pro

No — Fiorentina are in poor form with three straight losses, including a 4-0 defeat to AS Roma, while Napoli have won three of their last five. The head-to-head record also strongly favors Napoli, who have won four of the last five meetings. With TuringStats models giving only a 0% home win probability and a 92% away win consensus, there is no credible basis to back Fiorentina here.

No
Qwen 3.8 Max

No — Napoli's head-to-head dominance is overwhelming, with four wins and one draw in the last five meetings against Fiorentina, including a 3-1 victory at this same venue in September 2025. The model consensus is decisive at 92% for an away win with 0% for a home win, and Napoli's recent form (three wins in their last five) is clearly superior to Fiorentina's three consecutive losses. Fiorentina's defensive fragility, conceding 11 goals in five matches, makes them highly vulnerable to Napoli's attack.

No
Mistral Medium 3.5

No — Fiorentina’s form is abysmal with four losses in their last five, including a 4-0 thrashing by Roma, while Napoli’s recent wins over Udinese and Genoa show resilience. The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Napoli, with four wins in the last five meetings, and the model consensus gives Napoli a 92% chance of victory. Even at home, Fiorentina’s defensive frailties (11 goals conceded in five games) make an upset unlikely.

No
Kimi K3

No — Fiorentina will not beat Napoli on 20 September. The TuringStats models give Fiorentina a 0% chance of a home win versus 92% for an away win, and the head-to-head record is brutal: Napoli have won four of the last five meetings, including 2-1 in January 2026 and 3-1 in Florence in September 2025. Fiorentina's form is also alarming with three straight losses including a 0-3 home defeat to Frosinone and 11 goals conceded in five games, while Napoli have won three of their last five with only 5 conceded. Everything points to Napoli, most likely by a 1-2 scoreline as the models project.

No
GLM 5.3

No — Napoli have won the last four head-to-head meetings against Fiorentina, including 3-1 and 3-0 wins in Florence, and the TuringStats models give Napoli a 92% away-win probability. Fiorentina's form is poor with three straight losses and 11 goals conceded in their last five, while Napoli arrive on back-to-back wins. The 1-2 predicted score and 0.9-1.9 expected-goals split further confirm Napoli as the likelier winner.

No
MiMo V2.5 Pro

No — the TuringStats models overwhelmingly favor Napoli with a 92% away win prediction and a 1-2 expected scoreline. Fiorentina's recent form is poor with three consecutive losses, while Napoli have won three of their last five and historically dominate this fixture, winning the last four head-to-head meetings. The data makes a Fiorentina victory extremely unlikely.

No

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