EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60%
Featured deliberation

Will Malaga beat Villarreal in the La Liga on 17 September...

Council vote from 10 AI models — 0 yes, 10 no

Question on the table

Will Malaga beat Villarreal in the La Liga on 17 September?

Consensus Vote

Council decision

No

0 agree

10 disagree

10 models deliberated on this question.

Expert Opinions

GPT-5.6 Luna

No — Malaga are unlikely to beat Villarreal, with TuringStats assigning them 0% for a home win versus 75% for Villarreal. Malaga’s last five include three draws and two losses with only 2 goals scored, while the model’s most common score is Villarreal winning 2-1.

No
Claude Sonnet 5

No — the TuringStats models show 0% for a Malaga home win versus 75% for Villarreal, a striking consensus despite Villarreal's poor form. Malaga have only scored 2 goals in their last 5 games while conceding 8, showing they lack the firepower to beat a top-flight side even a struggling one. Villarreal, despite losing three straight, are still scoring goals (7 in 5 games) which suggests they can find the net against a leaky Malaga defense. The predicted 1-2 scoreline aligns with Villarreal's attacking output against Malaga's defensive fragility.

No
Gemini 3.8 Flash

No — Malaga will not beat Villarreal in this fixture given their severe struggles in attack and winless recent form. Having scored only two goals across their last five matches (DDLDL), Malaga lack the cutting edge required to overcome Villarreal, whom the TuringStats models favor with a 75% away win projection and a 0% home win probability. With the expected goals heavily tilting toward the visitors at 0.8-1.6, Villarreal have the superior offensive output to secure at least a point or take the victory outright.

No
Grok 4.6

No — Malaga will not beat Villarreal. The models give a home win exactly 0% with a 75% away-win lean and 1-2 as the most common score, matching Malaga’s last-five run of only two goals scored and eight conceded. Villarreal’s extra attacking output (seven goals in five games) and the expected-goals tilt of 0.8-1.6 further point to an away result rather than a Malaga victory.

No
DeepSeek V4 Pro

No — Malaga are in poor form with only two goals in their last five matches and a DDLDL run, so beating Villarreal looks unlikely. The TuringStats models give Malaga a 0% home-win probability and a 75% away-win chance for Villarreal, which is a strong consensus against the hosts. Villarreal have struggled too, but their 1-2 predicted scoreline and expected goals of 0.8-1.6 suggest they should edge this match.

No
Qwen 3.8 Max

No — Malaga's form is dire with zero wins in their last five (DDLDL), scoring only 2 goals while conceding 8, and the TuringStats models give them a 0% home win probability. Villarreal, despite their own poor run (LLLDD), still carry superior attacking output (7 goals scored) and the model consensus heavily favors them at 75% for an away win. The expected goals split of 0.8–1.6 further confirms Malaga's inability to generate enough offense to overcome Villarreal.

No
Mistral Medium 3.5

No — Villarreal's recent form, despite three losses, shows they can score (7 goals in 5 games) while Malaga struggles offensively (only 2 goals in 5). The TuringStats models strongly favor an away win (75%) with an expected score of 1-2, and Malaga's defensive record (8 conceded) suggests they'll struggle to contain Villarreal. Even at home, their lack of firepower and poor head-to-head momentum make a win unlikely.

No
Kimi K3

No — Malaga will not beat Villarreal. The TuringStats models give Malaga a 0% home win chance versus 75% for an away win, with the most common predicted score 1-2. Malaga's form is toothless (DDLDL, just 2 goals scored and 8 conceded, including a 4-0 loss to Real Madrid), so even against a Villarreal side on a poor LLLDD run, the expected-goals tilt of 0.8-1.6 favors the visitors.

No
GLM 5.3

No — Malaga's form is dismal with zero wins and only 2 goals scored in their last five matches (DDLDL), including a 4-0 loss to Real Madrid. Villarreal, despite recent losses, show more attacking output with 7 goals in five games, and the 12 TuringStats models heavily favor an away win at 75% versus 0% for Malaga. The most common predicted score of 1-2 and the xG tilt of 0.8-1.6 against Malaga reinforce that a home victory is very unlikely.

No
MiMo V2.5 Pro

No — the match data shows Malaga's dire form with only two goals scored in their last five matches, while Villarreal, despite their own struggles, are predicted to win by 75% of the models with an expected goals advantage of 1.6 to 0.8. Malaga's defensive record of conceding eight goals in that same period makes a clean sheet or a victory highly unlikely against a side that still managed to score seven goals in their own poor run. The consensus and xG tilt clearly point to an away win.

No

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