EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60% EST 1-1 CAS · 51% SAN 0-1 SCB · 57% AME 0-2 BEş · 61% GöZ 1-0 RIZ · 53% KOR 1-0 SKB · 53% BRA 1-2 BOD · 57% SCP 1-2 189 · 58% MOD 1-1 EMP · 51% DIN 1-1 FAR · 53% SAN 1-1 BOC · 54% PAN 0-2 PAO · 63% LEC 2-0 RAD · 59% ACM 2-0 LEC · 66% MAR 1-2 PAR · 60%
Featured deliberation

Will Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol in the La Liga on 15 Sep...

Council vote from 10 AI models — 0 yes, 10 no

Question on the table

Will Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol in the La Liga on 15 September?

Consensus Vote

Council decision

No

0 agree

10 disagree

10 models deliberated on this question.

Expert Opinions

GPT-5.6 Luna

No — Rayo Vallecano are likelier not to beat Espanyol, with TuringStats giving the draw a 58% probability and a 1-1 score as the most common prediction. Rayo have lost three of their last five and conceded 14 goals, while Espanyol have won two of their last five and conceded only five.

No
Claude Sonnet 5

No — the model consensus gives a draw lean at 58% with the most common predicted score being 1-1, and Rayo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches while conceding 14 goals in that span, showing defensive fragility. Espanyol come in with better defensive form, conceding only 5 in their last 5 games, and have won H2H meetings 2 of the last 3 encounters against Rayo. The expected goals split of 1.0-0.6 also points to a tight, low-scoring affair rather than a clear Rayo win.

No
Gemini 3.8 Flash

No — Rayo Vallecano will not secure a victory against Espanyol in this matchup. Rayo enters in miserable form having lost three of their last five matches while leaking an alarming 14 goals over that span. With TuringStats models overwhelmingly favoring a draw at 58% over a home win at 42%, Rayo's defensive frailties will prevent them from taking all three points.

No
Grok 4.6

No — Rayo Vallecano will not beat Espanyol. TuringStats models give the home side only a 42% win chance against a 58% draw probability and a most-common 1-1 score, so a Rayo victory is not the likeliest outcome. Rayo’s last five games produced 14 goals conceded and an LWLDL run, while Espanyol’s tighter 8-5 scoring record and the 1.0-0.6 expected-goals tilt both point to a compressed, low-event match that favors the draw lean.

No
DeepSeek V4 Pro

No — Rayo Vallecano are not likelier to win; TuringStats models give a home win only 42% versus a 58% draw, with the most common predicted score 1-1. Rayo’s recent form is poor (LWLDL, 14 goals conceded in 5), while Espanyol have just won 0-2 at Osasuna and 3-0 against Levante. The expected-goals tilt of 1.0-0.6 and the model consensus point to a low-scoring draw, not a Rayo victory.

No
Qwen 3.8 Max

No — Rayo Vallecano's form is poor with only 1 win in their last 5 matches and a leaky defense conceding 14 goals in that span. The TuringStats model consensus gives them a 42% home win probability with 0% away win, heavily favoring a draw (58%), and the expected goals (1.0-0.6) suggest a low-scoring, tight affair. Their head-to-head record also shows Espanyol have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge.

No
Mistral Medium 3.5

No — TuringStats models predict a draw as most likely (58%) over a Rayo win (42%), making a Rayo victory the less probable outcome. Espanyol's superior defensive form (5 conceded in last 5 vs Rayo's 14) and the 1-1 most common predicted score support this. The head-to-head is mixed but doesn't outweigh the current form and model consensus.

No
Kimi K3

No — I don't see Rayo winning this one. The TuringStats models give Rayo just a 42% home-win chance with a 58% draw lean and a most common score of 1-1, which points away from a home victory. Rayo's form is poor too: three losses in their last five (LWLDL) with 14 goals conceded, including a 5-2 thrashing by Barcelona. Espanyol have been far tighter defensively, conceding only 5 in their last five, so a draw or narrow away result is the likelier outcome.

No
GLM 5.3

No — the model consensus gives a draw 58% versus only 42% for a Rayo win, with the most common predicted score 1-1. Espanyol arrive in far better form (WDLLW, just 5 conceded in five) while Rayo have lost three of five and conceded 14. The head-to-head also shows Espanyol have won three of the last five meetings, so I lean toward Rayo failing to take all three points.

No
MiMo V2.5 Pro

No — the TuringStats models give Rayo only a 42% chance of winning with 58% predicting a draw, making a home victory less likely than not. Rayo's defensive form is a major liability: they've conceded 14 goals in their last five matches compared to Espanyol's tight 5, and their LWLDL run shows real inconsistency. The head-to-head record also tilts toward Espanyol, who've won three of the last five meetings, suggesting this fixture favors them even away from home.

No

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